Oscar Guesses

[tartysuz]

I didn't see many movies this year, but I can't resist guessing who will win an Oscar. Let's see if I can beat the odds!



The only one of these picks that I've reasoned out is for Best Picture. Because there are 10 nominees this year, the academy switched to a preferential voting system to avoid the chances that a film with 10% + 1 votes will win best picture. Since it seems that The Hurt Locker has more goodwill flowing to it than any other of the nominated pictures, it stands the best chance of garnering the most top five votes.

Of course, if it were up to me, A Serious Man would win Best Picture as well as Original Screenplay, but it was way too small of a film.

Now with updates!

Actor (Lead) - Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart - WINNER!
Actor (Supporting) - Christoph Waltz, Inglorious Basterds - WINNER!
Actress (Lead) - Sandra Bullock, Blindside - WINNER!
Actress (Supporting) - Mo'Nique, Precious - WINNER!
Animated Feature - Up - WINNER!
Art Direction - Avatar - WINNER!
Cinematography - The Hurt Locker - LOST to Avatar
Costume Design - The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus - LOST to The Young Victoria
Directing - Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker - WINNER!
Documentary (Feature) - The Cove - WINNER!
Documentary (Short) - The Last Truck - LOST to Music by Prudence
Film Editing - Avatar - LOST to Avatar
Foreign Language Film - The White Ribbon - LOST to El secreto de sus ojos
Makeup - Star Trek - WINNER!
Music (Score) - Up - WINNER!
Music (Song) - The Weary Kind - WINNER!
Best Picture - The Hurt Locker - WINNER!
Short Film (Animated) - A Matter of Loaf and Death - LOST to Logorama
Short Film (Live) - The New Tenants - WINNER! TOTAL GUESS!
Sound Editing - Inglorious Basterds - LOST to The Hurt Locker
Sound Mixing - Avatar - LOST to The Hurt Locker
Visual Effects - Avatar - WINNER!
Writing (Adapted) - Up in the Air - LOST to Precious
Writing (Original) - The Hurt Locker - WINNER!

Total: 15/24

Well, at least I beat the odds!

Comments

[baker-kitty.livejournal.com]

So you were right about the supporting actor. :) (early coverage on CBC)

Which movies were the actors in? I don't watch movies much, so I have no idea who was in what...

:)

[tartysuz.livejournal.com]

Yay, I got a few right so far!

I'll take a break from watching the broadcast at 9-10, then I'll track who won on http://www.imdb.com/